Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.361454 3.884933 4.465389 5.157182 5.959854 6.862628 7.956153
2024-10-13 2.714497 3.408503 4.245465 5.330946 6.704397 8.388280 10.615618
2024-10-20 2.209166 2.980942 3.982190 5.380324 7.289188 9.814415 13.425787
2024-10-27 1.740076 2.502333 3.557347 5.130786 7.430182 10.686912 15.684208
2024-11-03 1.528208 2.329793 3.507197 5.373109 8.277141 12.659510 19.840899
2024-11-10 1.377620 2.215575 3.515376 5.693743 9.287143 15.038073 25.056770
2024-11-17 1.219706 2.059622 3.428984 5.844649 10.048402 17.150804 30.245065
2024-11-24 1.066958 1.884086 3.278639 5.857755 10.573319 18.950732 35.231246
2024-12-01 0.907954 1.670218 3.026762 5.646824 10.660231 19.989283 39.025874
2024-12-08 0.773432 1.477713 2.780732 5.401124 10.632561 20.798517 42.514672
2024-12-15 0.701994 1.391312 2.715565 5.485186 11.247785 22.929569 49.027257
2024-12-22 0.617102 1.265200 2.554372 5.350495 11.395943 24.143316 53.838632
2024-12-29 0.586662 1.247708 2.613188 5.694194 12.639932 27.928624 65.213015
2025-01-05 0.543029 1.195878 2.593736 5.869029 13.553971 31.181049 76.103363
2025-01-12 0.493806 1.124083 2.520492 5.912169 14.180005 33.906731 86.351028
2025-01-19 0.427844 1.004111 2.321732 5.630265 13.986017 34.666003 91.852278
2025-01-26 0.405969 0.983327 2.347232 5.892261 15.180970 39.063935 107.880570
2025-02-02 0.390744 0.976075 2.403623 6.241691 16.668200 44.501649 128.021548
2025-02-09 0.366333 0.942043 2.388983 6.405481 17.696308 48.928874 146.334319
2025-02-16 0.336957 0.890603 2.322249 6.418534 18.313895 52.352158 162.487645
2025-02-23 0.299914 0.813125 2.175737 6.185955 18.189319 53.639789 172.363742
2025-03-02 0.265836 0.738423 2.025189 5.915569 17.902538 54.393823 180.714663
2025-03-09 0.249480 0.710653 1.999648 6.007556 18.735340 58.727552 202.045420